Showing posts with label obama. Show all posts
Showing posts with label obama. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

3 things to know about interest rates in 2014

Found a great article on Interest Rates for 2014 on housingwire.com. This definitely pertains to investment properties in Boise ID

3 things to know about interest rates in 2014
Whether they rise or not, things are going to change

By Trey Garrison January 10, 2014 5:07PM

Interest rates will go up. Or they will stay the same. One of those two things will definitely happen in 2014, economists say, and some lenders and investors may have trouble adjusting to the change.

"We think rates are generally headed up. We have a growing economy both here and aboard,” said Mike Fratantoni, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA). "We’re going to get some differing data like today’s jobs report which was off, but the next jobs report may see employment up. We are anticipating the job market is going to grow in 2014 and the recovery will continue."

Further, he said, a longer-term factor will be that a growing federal deficit will put upward pressure on rates. And third, the Federal Reserve has already made it clear that if U-3 unemployment goes below 6.5%, it will let rates rise.

"We expect that in the third quarter the Fed will stop buying MBS and Treasurys, and start raising interest rates," Frantantoni said.

MBA is projecting interest rates on the 10-year Treasury yield to go from 3% in the first quarter of 2014 to 3.3% by fourth quarter of 2014, averaging 3.2% for the year, and then creeping up to 3.5% by the last two quarters 2015, averaging 3.4% for 2015.

MBA projects that 30-year fixed mortgage rates will go from 4.7% in the first quarter 2014 to 5.1% by the end of the year, and continuing a slow rise to 5.3% by the end of 2015.

Conversely, economists at international macro-economic research firm Capital Economics say they don’t expect interest rates to rise and that the Fed will keep a tight, tight leash on rates through 2014.

"The world economy has entered 2014 with a lot more momentum than it had a year ago. Business and consumer confidence have improved and unemployment is falling rapidly in several countries. However, while this should eventually prompt central bankers to raise interest rates, we do not expect significant hikes this year," the firm states in its Global Central Bank Watch report. "Instead, the Fed and Bank of England are likely to leave rates unchanged even after unemployment falls below their current thresholds, while both the ECB and the Bank of Japan look set to announce additional policy stimulus."

"The acceleration in growth over the past twelve months or so has been particularly strong in advanced economies In principle, this should pave the way for policy- makers to raise official rates from their current exceptionally low levels, particularly given that some central banks – notably the Fed and Bank of England – have explicitly linked future hikes to progress in reducing unemployment," the Capital Economics report states. "In practice, though, the four major central banks in advanced economies are likely to continue to tread very carefully in withdrawing stimulus, let alone actually tightening policy."

One big concern outside the housing and mortgage universe is that if interest rates rise too high, it could essentially bankrupt the U.S. treasury. The Fed is now printing 29 cents for every dollar the U.S. government spends, and servicing the national $17.3 trillion debt is costly even with low interest rates.

A study last fall by the bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget said total interest payments on the federal debt in 2013 were approximately $255 billion. That’s based on the Treasury paying 0.01% on three-month bills and 2.98% on 10-year notes, as opposed to the historical average of 3.3% and 5.2 % respectively.

Frantantoni said typically the Fed has made it clear to the Treasury that it will focus on price stability rather than financing the debt, although he acknowledges there is a concern that interest payments on outstanding federal debt could be an issue. Economic growth concurrent with rising interest rates would serve to ameliorate these concerns through increased tax revenues and stronger job growth.

"We’ve had a couple of unusual years, and a lot of folks in the Fed would like to get back to the role of just minding monetary policy,” he said.

The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.
PS: We've Helped More Buyers and Sellers than 99.8% of any Local Realtor
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Regards, Michael Hon, REALTOR®
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group
Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax: 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Saturday, July 02, 2011

Boise Idaho Real Estate - Mid Year Market Statistics July 1, 2011


The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.
PS: We've Helped More Buyers and Sellers than 99.8% of any Local Realtor

Click Here to Search 24/7 for The Best Real Estate Deals in Boise!
Click Here to Download Our Free "Selling Your Home" Pre-Listing Plan!
Click Here to Pre-Qualify for a Loan Online!

IERT logo
Regards, Michael Hon, REALTOR®
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group
Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax: 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Tuesday, November 30, 2010

Family in real estate collapse deals with fallout

You can't write fiction like this!

Family in real estate collapse deals with fallout
By: CYNTHIA SEWELL 11/27/10 3:00 AM
Idaho Statesman

Shauntee Ferguson sobbed uncontrollably as she stood before a federal judge this month. The mother of five begged for mercy as the judge set her sentence for mortgage fraud.

Her father, Michael Hymas, sat in the courtroom, head hung low. He listened to the prosecutor and the judge chastise his daughter for letting him, and her husband, talk her into signing falsified loan applications. Just a few hours earlier, the same judge had sentenced Hymas to 21 months in federal prison. Next week, the judge will sentence Ferguson's husband, Stanley.

One by one, over the course of 11 months, almost a dozen people have pleaded guilty or have been charged in federal court for their roles in a web of real estate schemes that made and then lost millions of dollars in the Treasure Valley's housing boom and bust.

It has all the trappings of a Hollywood movie assets hidden in shell companies, abandoned and unfinished homes, a beauty queen, a fatal plane crash and an appearance on a television reality show.

At the center of this complex story is the now defunct Crestwood custom home-building business, its young, ambitious owners and the close-knit group of family and friends around them.

The numbers are staggering: Between April and July 2008, Crestwood owners Aaron Hymas and Justin Walker and their family members and friends filed seven bankruptcies, collectively owing more than $85 million to more than 900 creditors. More than 100 civil cases have been filed in Idaho and Utah against Crestwood, Hymas and Walker.

The subsequent and ongoing federal investigation led to charges last year against eight Hymas family members or associates. All pleaded guilty.

Now, a second wave has begun. Last month, a federal grand jury indicted two more people, and additional indictments are expected in the coming months as the U.S. Attorney's Office, Idaho Attorney General's Office, FBI and federal bankruptcy and IRS investigators unravel a labyrinthine paper trail involving millions of dollars in real estate transactions and dozens of businesses and shell companies.

The two central figures, Aaron Hymas and Justin Walker, have not been charged with any crimes. One never will be: Walker died in a plane crash last year.

And while Aaron Hymas has no criminal charges, he recently was dealt a legal and financial blow. In September, a federal bankruptcy judge refused to discharge any of his debt.

During the real estate boom, many people in the Treasure Valley and across the nation were operating real estate Ponzi-like schemes that worked like this:

— Obtain bank loans to purchase or build homes.

— Quickly sell the homes for a profit.

— Repay the bank and pocket the extra cash.

— Repeat.

The system worked as long as the properties kept selling for more and more money one property sale would pay off the loan coming due on another property.

"The market was out of control," Michael Hymas' attorney, Darren Meacham, told a federal judge at Hymas' Nov. 1 sentencing.

"To call this fraud is misleading," Meacham said. "In fact, this worked in the beginning. Nobody thought they were going to get hurt. Nobody thought it would go down."

But when the housing market cooled and the buyers went away, many were left owning numerous properties, with millions of dollars in bank loans and no financial ability to keep it all afloat.

In October 2007, the tanking economy forced dozens of buyers to walk away from pending Crestwood home sales, leaving Crestwood with more than a hundred unsold lots and homes. Aaron Hymas and Justin Walker consulted a bankruptcy attorney.

The same month, Hymas and Walker attended an "asset protection" seminar by Nick Malis, who presented himself as a Nevada attorney. Malis would tell them how "to own nothing but control everything" by creating holding companies that would own all of a person's assets in effect, making the person penniless and judgment-proof.

Malis' advice so impressed Hymas that he hired him to create nine companies in Nevada on Dec. 4, 2007, to provide the "layers of protection" discussed at the seminar. On the same day, Walker created four similar Nevada companies. A few weeks later, Hymas unsuccessfully tried to contact Malis. "Aaron learned Malis was not an attorney ... and, in fact was in trouble with the law," according to bankruptcy court documents.

The court documents detail what happened next:

Hymas hired another attorney, who determined Hymas' nine Nevada entities were legal. Hymas and his wife, Tiffany, began liquidating investment accounts and transferring assets, their personal home and most of their household goods to the Nevada accounts and elsewhere. Dozens of asset and cash transfers occurred between December 2007 and April 2008, "at a time when Crestwood, Inc. ... was in its financial death spiral," Assistant U.S. Trustee David Newman wrote.

Hymas said he had no intention of filing bankruptcy when he set up the Nevada accounts in December 2007, according to court documents. He said he did not consider filing bankruptcy until Bank of the West filed a $1.3 million lawsuit against him, Walker and Crestwood on Feb. 20, 2008. (On Feb. 21 and 22, the Hymases had transfered $325,000 from a personal account to their Nevada companies.) Hymas and Walker retained bankruptcy attorney Kelly Beeman on Feb. 28, 2008, but they would not file bankruptcy until almost two months later.

The Hymases loaned themselves $60,500 in March 2008 from one of their Nevada companies to pay for a surrogate mother and in vitro fertilization. Twin boys were born in January 2009.

Just days before filing bankruptcy, Hymas partnered with Vince Covino to buy 1,000 shares of stock in a financial planning company. For his shares, Hymas wrote a check for $220,000. About a year before filing bankruptcy, Hymas had loaned Covino $500,000, which was later converted into 49 percent of Covino's company, Equity Benefits, which owned commercial real estate in Eagle and Phoenix.

On April 17, 2008, Bank of the West was awarded the $1.3 million judgment it sought. On the same day, the Hymases sold Tiffany's wedding ring, watches and other jewelry to Aaron's father for $13,000. One week later, on April 25, Aaron, 36, and Tiffany, 35, finally filed personal bankruptcy. The final document comprises several hundred pages, listing assets of just $64,000 and debt of a staggering $68 million.

For more than two years now, bankruptcy trustees have waded through myriad filings fraught with omissions and mistakes.

Aaron Hymas told the court their initial bankruptcy attorney, Kelly Beeman, is to blame for incomplete and missing information.

Beeman and Hymas refused to be interviewed by the Idaho Statesman. Other Hymas family members could not be reached, and Aaron Hymas said they didn't want to talk.

Hymas brought on a new bankruptcy attorney, Brent T. Robinson, in October 2008.

Robinson did not return a call from the Idaho Statesman.

Robinson told the bankruptcy court this summer that his clients had received bad advice from Beeman.

"Once they realized that they were receiving bad advice from Mr. Beeman, they attempted to correct any mistakes, misinformation or omissions that were present," Robinson wrote.

"Defendants have no defenses," Assistant U.S. Trustee David Newman responded. "They cannot claim advice of counsel as defense or blame their misconduct on attorneys' sloppy work."

The judge agreed Beeman's work may have been less than stellar.

"Beeman's advice and conduct was patently wrong in numerous regards," wrote Chief U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Terry L. Myers, noting that Beeman "was in many instances impeached by his own deposition testimony."

But ultimately the responsibility lies with the Hymases, the judge said.

On Sept. 30, Myers denied the discharge of the Hymases' $68 million debt because of "their transfer of assets within a year of filing bankruptcy with the intent to hinder, delay or defraud their creditors and their knowing and fraudulent false oaths," Myers wrote.

The Hymases did not appeal the judge's decision.

Even though none of their debt will be discharged, the bankruptcy case moves forward as the trustee attempts to recover and liquidate the couple's assets to pay creditors.

On Sept. 17, the bankruptcy trustee filed a complaint against Covino seeking recovery of the $500,000 Hymas gave him. Covino is amicably working with the trustee to resolve the matter, according to his attorney, Brian Boyle.

Between 2004 and 2006, Michael Hymas (Aaron's father), his daughter, Shauntee, and his son-in-law, Stanley, pleaded guilty to falsifying $8 million in loan applications to purchase and flip 21 properties in Idaho and Utah.

"Ultimately, the scheme collapsed," Assistant U.S. Attorney George Breitsameter told Judge Edward J. Lodge at Michael Hymas' sentencing.

Hymas, 59, a longtime Meridian insurance agent, asked the judge for leniency.

"This is not me," he told the judge. "My entire life I've taught my family about integrity. I put myself in a position where I jeopardized my integrity. I didn't mean to."

Hymas wants to return to Utah and start making money so he can pay his restitution. He and his son, Aaron, have just started a new business venture called eNutriTec, a health food products company.

The elder Hymas' attorney asked the judge to let his client go with probation or house arrest and restitution.

Lodge scoffed at the idea.

"Restitution is not a punishment the money was never yours to begin with," Lodge said.

This wasn't just one mistake in need of restitution, Lodge said. Because Michael Hymas had filed bankruptcy a few years ago, he had to use his daughter and son-in-law's names and credit ratings to get bank loans. Twenty-one of the 28 loan applications filed by the trio contained false information.

The "train wreck" was inevitable, Lodge said.

Lodge sentenced Michael Hymas to 21 months in federal prison, three years supervised release and 80 hours community service. He ordered him to pay restitution of $544,647.

Lodge was especially critical of how Hymas and his son-in-law used his daughter.

"Your daughter pretty much did what she was told," Lodge said.

Shauntee Ferguson, 33, a stay-at-home mom, signed her name to loan applications and other documents prepared by her father or husband. Some documents indicated she made $10,000 a month as a marketing director at her father's insurance agency, when in fact she was not employed and had no income.

"You cannot put your head in the sand and say you didn't know what was going on here," Lodge told her. "You just don't sign documents unless you read them."

Lodge sentenced Ferguson to one day in prison, five years of supervised release and restitution of $365,829.69.

"It is probably unfair to the victims, but it is the only sentence the court feels is realistic," Lodge said.

Her husband, Stanley, will be sentenced on Nov. 29.

Melody Covino Redondo, Vince Covino's sister, slouched in her chair next to her husband, Paul, at the defendants' table during their arraignment before a federal judge on Nov. 1 coincidentally the same day as Michael and Shauntee Hymas' sentencing.

Their indictment on multiple counts of bank fraud, wire fraud and making false statements to a financial institution marked another wave of charges brought by federal investigators and prosecutors.

The Redondos may be familiar faces to fans of "Fear Factor." The couple appeared on a honeymoon episode of the television show in 2005.

In an alleged real estate scheme, Melody Redondo, a real estate agent, attempted to sell Crestwood subcontractor Christopher Georgeson's $1.4 million Eagle home in a short-sale without notifying the bank of higher offers.

Under the scheme, the house would be simultaneously sold to another buyer and Redondo would get a share of the proceeds. When Redondo couldn't get someone to notarize a quitclaim deed on which she had allegedly forged Georgeson's name, Redondo became a notary and signed the deed herself, according to the indictment.

The simultaneous sale never took place.

Both Paul, 33, and Melody, 32, also are accused of falsifying income and other information on loan documents.

The Redondos pleaded not guilty at their Nov. 1 arraignment. A trial is set for Jan. 11.

Breitsameter said the FBI investigation continues and he expects to bring more cases to the grand jury in the coming months.


Regards,IERT logo
Michael Hon
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Market Pro

Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Friday, August 20, 2010

Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

Here's a link and the text for an interesting article off Yahoo Real Estate provided by Bloomberg BusinessWeek

Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

By Venessa Wong, Bloomberg Businessweek
Aug 4, 2010
Buzz up!

Where will prices rebound most by state?

A housing market rebound seems tenuous following the expiration of the home buyer tax credit, and consumer confidence remains weak due to lackluster employment, but David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv, says the bottom is near. Home prices in the U.S. have declined 29.5 percent over the past four years, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. Stiff says prices should form a trough early next year, when median prices will be down an estimated 32.9 percent from the 2006 peak.


More from Bloomberg Businessweek

» Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

» America's Strongest Job Markets

» Most Improved U.S. Housing Markets 2010

By early 2014, they will have climbed about 7.2 percent from 2010 levels, according to the indexes. Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com base the housing forecast on factors that include income growth, demographic trends, unemployment rates, foreclosure rates, and construction costs. Of 384 places surveyed, the Bremerton-Silverdalearea in Washington State had the highest four-year growth forecast, with prices expected to increase 44.7 percent from 2010 to 2014. Other leading growth markets:Bend, Ore., where prices are expected to jump 33.6 percent by 2014, and Detroit, with a 33.1 percent forecast. Markets with the weakest projections: Miami andNaples in Florida and Atlantic City, N.J., where prices are expected to continue to fall over the next four years.

Top 10 Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

Washington
Ferry heads toward Bremerton, Wash. (AP)

1. Washington

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Bremerton-Silverdale metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 44.7 percent
Current median price: $245,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $69,900
Population: 240,860


The Bremerton-Silverdale area, on Puget Sound's Kitsap Peninsula, has the highest growth forecast of all MSAs in the country, with prices expected to jump 44.7 percent by 2014, according to Fiserv. Cathy Doney, general manger for Reid Real Estate in Silverdale, says the waterfront community has benefited from government employment, which has helped sustain the job market, and attracted buyers looking to live close to Seattle at a lower cost. Washington’s second-strongest market isTacoma, with a growth rate expected to be 33.1 percent. Prices in the Seattle area are expected to grow 25.5 percent by 2014.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Bend, Oregon
Bend, Oregon (Getty Images)

2. Oregon

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Bend metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.6 percent
Current median price: $144,533*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q1
Median family income: $58,200
Population: 158,630


The area around Bend area, in central Oregon's high desert by the Cascade Mountains, has the second-highest four-year growth forecast, 33.6 percent, after Bremerton-Silverdale, Wash. Bend draws home buyers and visitors with its wealth of outdoor recreational opportunities, but its prices have dropped about 40 percent since hitting a peak in late 2006. Fiserv and Moody's Economy.com now expect a rapid recovery starting next year. Greg Broderick, a real estate broker in Bend, says prices have overcorrected and buyers are seeing good value in the market. Homes priced the low hundred-thousand-dollar range "are being snapped up at a furious pace," he says. Still, the area must deal with a higher-than-average unemployment rate, which the BLS says was 13.4 percent in June.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA

Detroit, Michigan
Detroit, Michigan (Getty Images)

3. Michigan

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Detroit-Livonia-Dearborn metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.1 percent
Current median price: $51,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $54,400
Population: 1,925,850


Since reaching a peak in 2006, home prices in the Detroit area have fallen 60.5 percent, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. As homes have become more affordable—the median home price in Detroit is lower than median family income—demand is expected to pick up. Prices are forecast to jump 33.1 percent over the next four years. George Moma, a broker with Century 21 Dupont Realtors, says the growing prevalence of short sales over foreclosures will help drive up the median price in the Detroit metro area. He adds that the area is attracting interest among international investors from the U.K., Dubai, Moscow, India, Ireland, and France.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Napa, California
Napa, California (Getty Images)

4. California

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Napa metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.7 percent
Current median price: $355,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q4
Median family income: $79,600
Population: 134,650


Prices in the Napa area have dropped an enormous 44.6 percent since peaking in early 2006, according to first-quarter 2010 data from Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com. Despite the drop, home prices are expected to rebound quickly. According to an article in the St. Helena Star, Napa County is vulnerable to economic and real estate market fluctuations, but the impact is mitigated by managed growth and the county’s natural and agricultural resources. The unemployment rate in the Napa area fell to 9.3 percent in June, from 11.1 percent in January, according to the BLS.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Washington
Carson City, Nevada
(Convention and Vistor's Bureau)

5. Nevada

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Carson City metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.6 percent
Current median price: $141,524*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $63,100
Population: 55,180


By the second quarter of 2011, prices in theCarson City area are expected to have fallen 34.4 percent from peak levels, according to the Fiserv and Moody's Economy.com. Recovery will depend on job creation, as the unemployment rate was 13.4 percent in June, according to the BLS. While expectations for near-term economic growth have diminished recently and competition for jobs is extremely high, opportunities exist, even in a declining labor market, according to Nevada's Employment, Training, & Rehabilitation Dept.


Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Panama City, Florida
Panama City Beach, Florida (Getty Images)

6. Florida

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Panama City-Lynn Haven-Panama City Beach metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 26.9 percent
Current median price: $158,669*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $53,800
Population: 164,770


Home prices in the Panama City area fell about 27 percent after hitting a peak in 2006, according to the FHFA home price index. Jennifer Mackay, an agent at Keller Williams Success Realty in Panama City, says the market was stabilizing earlier this year, but the BP oil spill led some buyers to pull out and sent the rental market into a tailspin. Despite the area’s large number of foreclosures (1.93 percent in the first half, according to RealtyTrac), Mackay says the new Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, which opened in May, should help stimulate local business. "I see our economy doing better than others over the course of the next year," she says. The area's unemployment rate reached 12.1 percent in January and dropped to 9.3 percent in June, according to BLS data.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA

Flagstaff, Arizona
Flagstaff, Arizona (Getty Images)

7. Arizona

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Flagstaff metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 26 percent
Current median price: $278,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q3
Median family income: $56,700
Population: 129,850


Although Arizona has been one of the states hit hardest by the housing downturn, sales activity in the Flagstaff area, home to Northern Arizona University and Flagstaff Medical Center, has picked up since the start of the year, due in part to the home buyer tax credit. Flagstaff-based broker Ann Heitland says prices still may drop in the near term, but the decrease will be limited by shrinking inventory, as there has been a lack of new construction in the area. She adds that because more than one-fifth of the Flagstaff market is second homes, demand from second-home buyers from Phoenix will also affect the recovery.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Santa Fe, New Mexico
Santa Fe, New Mexico (Getty Images)

8. New Mexico

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Santa Fe metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 25.8 percent
Current median price: $197,601*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $64,300
Population: 147,530


Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com expect prices in Santa Fe to drop a total of 13.4 percent from their height in 2007. Lois Sury, president of the Santa Fe Association of Realtors, states in a release that median prices fell during the second quarter, but homes are moving across all price ranges. Sales in the city and county of Santa Fe rose 40 percent during the second quarter, compared with the same period last year, according to the association.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Wyoming
Wyoming (Getty Images)

9. Wyoming

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Cheyenne metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 23.7 percent
Current median price: $106,602*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $62,600
Population: 88,850


The Cheyenne metro area, which includes Laramie County, has been a fairly stable market, with home prices estimated to drop only 2.6 percent from peak to trough. Home prices increased in June, and the average time on the market decreased, according to the Cheyenne Board of Realtors. The metro area had a 7 percent unemployment rate in June, according to the BLS.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Alaska
Anchorage, Alaska (Getty Images)

10. Alaska

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Anchorage metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 20 percent
Current median price: $177,699*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $77,700
Population: 374,550


The housing market in Anchorage has been stable: The estimated peak-to-trough price drop was only 2.1 percent, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. Home sales, aided by the first-time home buyers' tax credit earlier this year, as well as the fact that the area is home to many people who work in the resilient energy sector, are projected to stay strong as buyers take advantage of lower prices and low mortgage rates. According to Housingpredictor.com, "the state is seeing few foreclosures and is already showing signs of recovering."

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010





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