Showing posts with label boise. Show all posts
Showing posts with label boise. Show all posts

Friday, February 14, 2014

Millionaires See Real Estate as Top Investment for 2014

Found this great article on Bloomberg Personal Finance

Millionaires See Real Estate as Top Investment for 2014
By Margaret Collins and David M. Levitt  Feb 6, 2014 2:45 PM MT

U.S. millionaires see real estate as the top alternative-asset class to own this year, according to Morgan Stanley. (MS)

About 77 percent of investors with at least $1 million in assets own real estate, according to a survey released today by the New York-based investment bank’s wealth-management unit. Direct ownership of residential and commercial properties was the No. 1 alternative-investment pick for 2014, with a third of millionaires surveyed saying they plan to buy this year. Twenty-three percent said they expect to invest in real estate investment trusts, the second-most popular choice.

Wealthy investors are turning to a rebounding real estate market as fixed-income yields remain historically low and equities surge. U.S. commercial-property values rose 8 percent in the 12 months ended Jan. 31, and have jumped 71 percent since hitting their post-recession bottom in 2009, research firm Green Street Advisors Inc. reported today. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of home prices in 20 cities is up 24 percent from its 2012 low.

“After a year where the Standard & Poor’s Index rose 30 percent, some millionaires are moving money out of traditional, long-only strategies to find outperformance, and turning toward alternatives such as real estate and private equity,” said Gary Kaminsky, a vice chairman at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management in New York. “Sophisticated, high-net-worth investors are much more concerned about losses.”

The One57 residential building stands while under construction in New York.
Collectibles ranked as the third-most-popular alternative-investment choice this year, with 20 percent of millionaires saying they planned to buy, followed by private equity at 19 percent and precious metals at 16 percent.

Interest Rates

Wealthy investors see stocks getting expensive and interest rates staying stable or even declining over the next couple of years, Kaminsky said in an interview at a conference for Tiger 21 investors last week in Scottsdale, Arizona. That’s why they are looking more closely at alternatives including real estate for returns and income, he said.

Tiger 21 members, who have at least $10 million in investable assets, increased their average allocation to real estate last year to 21 percent as of the fourth quarter from 19 percent in the first three months of 2013, according to a separate study released by the New York-based group last month.

Will Ade, a Tiger 21 member, said real estate is a particularly attractive investment as stocks show vulnerability in 2014. The S&P 500 has fallen more than 4 percent this year, while developing-country stocks have tumbled on concern that the outlook for economies is worsening.

‘Lame’ Bull

“We had a great bull run last year,” Ade, a 60-year-old geologist, said in an interview today. “I don’t know if the bull is dead, but it certainly is lame right now.”

This year may be the tail-end of attractive investments in property before interest rates rise, said Ade, who has made his money finding oil companies and private investors to fund the drilling of wells. He said he is trying to purchase residential real estate in Miami right now.

“The really good real estate deals are getting harder and harder to find,” Ade said. “Once interest rates start to go up, whether it’s farmland or single-family dwellings there’s going to be huge downward pressure on real estate.”

Foreign Buyers

The Manhattan high-rise condominium buildings One57 and 432 Park Ave., where units have gone under contract for more than $90 million, are evidence of the faith that the very wealthy have in real estate, said Mitchell Roschelle, real estate advisory leader at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP. Such properties have also attracted international buyers.

Wealthy foreigners have bought high-end U.S. properties for their safety and because they’re denominated in dollars, the world’s reserve currency, he said. This helps domestic millionaires maintain the value of their property investments.

“It creates competition, which drives the price up for everybody,” he said. “The sellers have multiple channels to sell into. That gives you more liquidity.”

Self-storage properties are among commercial real estate investments wealthy individuals are buying, Kaminsky of Morgan Stanley said. Retail shopping centers are seen as less attractive as more consumers shop online through companies such as Amazon.com Inc., he said.

Chilean Fund

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management surveyed 1,004 U.S. investors ages 25 to 75, with least $100,000 in assets, during the fourth quarter of last year. A third of them had more than $1 million.

BigSur Partners, a Miami-based wealth-management firm, has been helping some of its wealthy clients, who usually have at least $50 million, work with institutional investors such as a Chilean pension fund to invest in commercial real estate, said Chief Executive Officer Ignacio Pakciarz. Deals include an office building in Princeton, New Jersey, he said.

“We don’t feel there’s a lot of value in emerging-market bonds, high-yield bonds and highly rated fixed income,” Pakciarz said.

Owning the real estate is attractive because of the expected appreciation of property value and stream of rental income, as well as better control and supervision over the investments, he said. The firm has also bought office properties in Pittsburgh and Boston, multifamily residences in Texas and some industrial buildings for clients, and is looking for more opportunities this year in real estate purchases or lending, he said.

The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.
PS: We've Helped More Buyers and Sellers than 99.8% of any Local Realtor
Click Here to Search 24/7 for The Best Real Estate Deals in Boise!
Click Here to Download Our Free "Selling Your Home" Pre-Listing Plan! 
Click Here to Pre-Qualify for a Loan Online!

IERT logo
Regards, Michael Hon, REALTOR®
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group
Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax: 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Thursday, May 10, 2012

WE NEED YOUR FOURPLEX - BOISE IDAHO REAL ESTATE

The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.

PS: We've Helped More Buyers and Sellers than 99.8% of any Local Realtor

Click Here to Search 24/7 for The Best Real Estate Deals in Boise!
Click Here to Download Our Free "Selling Your Home" Pre-Listing Plan! 
Click Here to Pre-Qualify for a Loan Online!

IERT logo
Regards, Michael Hon, REALTOR®
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group
Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax: 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Thursday, May 12, 2011

Massive Backlog Freezes Foreclosures

Interesting article from UPI.com about foreclosure delays. If your doing a short sale, you may have a higher probability of getting it done.

Published: May 12, 2011
By Steve Cook Real Estate Economy Watch


Massive delays in foreclosure processing brought the number of new foreclosures to a 40-year low in April, extending the average foreclosure timeline to 400 days but reached 900 days in some states.


RealtyTrac reported foreclosure filings in April 2011 fell 9 percent from March and decreased 34 percent from April 2010.


"Foreclosure activity decreased on an annual basis for the seventh straight month in April, bringing foreclosure activity to a 40-month low," said James J. Saccacio, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac. "This slowdown continues to be largely the result of massive delays in processing foreclosures rather than the result of a housing recovery that is lifting people out of foreclosure.


"The first delay occurs between delinquency and foreclosure, when lenders and services are no longer automatically pushing loans that are more than 90 days delinquent into foreclosure but are waiting longer to allow for loan modifications, short sales and possibly other disposition alternatives," Saccacio continued. "Data from the Mortgage Bankers Association shows that about 3.7 million properties are in this seriously delinquent stage. The second delay occurs after foreclosure has started, when lenders are taking much longer than they were just a few years ago to complete the foreclosure process."


Nationwide, foreclosures completed (REOs) in the first quarter of 2011 took an average of 400 days from the initial default notice to the REO, up from 340 days in the first quarter of 2010 and more than double the average 151 days it took to foreclose in the first quarter of 2007.


The foreclosure process took much longer in some states. The average timeframe from initial default notice to REO in New Jersey and New York was more than 900 days in the first quarter of 2011, more than three times the average timeline in the first quarter of 2007 for both states.


The average foreclosure process in Florida took 619 days for foreclosures completed in the first quarter, up from 470 days in the first quarter of 2010 and nearly four times the average of 169 days it took in the first quarter of 2007.


The average foreclosure process in California took 330 days for foreclosures completed in the first quarter, up from 262 days in the first quarter of 2010 and more than double the average of 134 days in took in the first quarter of 2007.


Default notices (NOD, LIS) were filed for the first time on a total of 63,422 U.S. properties in April, a 14 percent decrease from the previous month and a 39 percent decrease from April 2010. After spiking 16 percent in March, default notices in April dropped back down close to the 48-month low hit in February.


Scheduled foreclosure auctions (NTS, NFS) hit a 31-month low in April, with a total of 86,304 U.S. properties scheduled for an auction for the first time during the month — down 7 percent from March and down 37 percent from April 2010.


Lenders foreclosed on 69,532 U.S. properties in April, down 5 percent from March and down 25 percent from April 2010, but bank repossessions (REOs) were still above a 22-month low hit in February 2011.


States with a judicial foreclosure process registered a 3 percent decrease in overall foreclosure activity from March and a 47 percent decrease in overall foreclosure activity from April 2010. States with a non-judicial foreclosure process posted an 11 percent month-over-month decrease and 26 percent year-over-year decrease in overall foreclosure activity.


Nevada posted the nation's highest state foreclosure rate for the 52nd straight month in April, with one in every 97 housing units receiving a foreclosure filing during the month. Overall foreclosure activity in Nevada decreased 9 percent from the previous month and was down 27 percent from April 2010. Bank repossessions increased 23 percent from March and were up 12 percent from April 2010 to 4,606 — an all-time monthly high since RealtyTrac began issuing the report for Nevada in April 2005.


Arizona REOs decreased 3 percent from March but were still up 22 percent from April 2010, helping the state maintain the nation's second highest foreclosure rate for the fifth consecutive month. One in every 205 Arizona housing units received a foreclosure filing during the month, and overall foreclosure activity decreased 15 percent from March and was down 17 percent from April 2010 despite the year-over-year jump in REOs.


Overall, foreclosure activity in California was down monthly and annually in April, but a 22 percent month-over-month jump in REOs helped keep the state's foreclosure rate at the third highest among all states for the sixth consecutive month. One in every 240 California properties received a foreclosure filing in April.


One in every 322 Utah housing units received a foreclosure filing in April, the fourth highest state foreclosure rate, and one in every 325 Idaho housing units received a foreclosure filing in April, the fifth highest state foreclosure rate.


Other states with foreclosure rates ranking among the top 10 in April were Michigan, Florida, Georgia, Colorado and Oregon.


10 states account for 70 percent of total foreclosure activity


Ten states accounted for 70 percent of U.S. foreclosure activity in April, led by California with 55,869 properties receiving a foreclosure filing during the month.


A total of 19,649 Florida properties received a foreclosure filing in April, the second highest state total despite a 59 percent decrease from April 2010. Florida overall foreclosure activity in April was still up marginally from a 46-month low set in February, and default notices and scheduled auctions increased from March.


Arizona tallied the third highest state total, with 13,419 properties receiving foreclosure filings in April, followed by Michigan, with 12,996 properties receiving foreclosure filings, and Nevada, with 11,761 properties receiving foreclosure filings.


Other states with foreclosure activity totals among the nation's 10 highest in April were Illinois (10,055), Texas (8,793), Georgia (8,479), Ohio (7,962) and Colorado (4,379).

The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.
PS: We've Helped More Buyers and Sellers than 99.8% of any Local Realtor

Click Here to Search 24/7 for The Best Real Estate Deals in Boise!
Click Here to Download Our Free "Selling Your Home" Pre-Listing Plan!
Click Here to Pre-Qualify for a Loan Online!

IERT logo
Regards, Michael Hon, REALTOR®
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group
Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax: 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Wednesday, March 16, 2011

Japan Earthquake and Tsunami: How to Help

As in the case of the recent earthquakes in New Zealand, NAR has identified four funds that we believe are well equipped to provide disaster-relief services. We urge NAR members who want to make a donation to consider one of these four organizations. The star-ratings (four stars being the highest) and descriptions of the funds were pulled word-for-word from the Web site CharityNavigator.org. Some members have reported receiving scam e-mails from organizations, some calling themselves real estate associations, purporting to collect money for Japanese tsunami relief. Here are helpful giving tips that Charity Navigator has provided for those who want to make sure their donations reach those in need.

NAR is also staying in touch with local REALTOR® associations on the West Coast that have close ties to Japan. If they plan any specific relief efforts, we will let members know.

1. AmeriCares

Overall Rating: Four Stars

AmeriCares is a nonprofit global health and disaster relief organization whose passion to help is matched by its ability to deliver. In times of epic disaster, daily struggle or civil conflict, AmeriCares restores health and saves lives by delivering donated medicines, medical supplies and humanitarian aid to people in need around the world and across the United States. Since its founding in 1982, AmeriCares has delivered more than $9 billion in aid to 147 countries. AmeriCares is able to maximize the impact of each donation due to its gift-in-kind model and the contributions received from pharmaceutical and medical supply manufacturers, as well as our partnerships with local health care providers around the world. Historically, for every $100 donated, AmeriCares is able to deliver more than $3,500 in humanitarian relief to people in need, including medicines, medical supplies, nutritional supplements and other vital aid. Donate to AmeriCares' Japan relief.

2. Habitat for Humanity International

Overall Rating: Four Stars

Founded in 1976, Habitat for Humanity International (HFHI) is an ecumenical Christian housing ministry. HFHI seeks to eliminate poverty housing and homelessness from the world, and to make decent shelter a matter of conscience and action. Habitat invites people of all backgrounds, races and religions to build houses together in partnership with families in need. Habitat has built more than 300,000 houses around the world, providing more than 1.5 million people in more than 3,000 communities with safe, decent, affordable shelter. Habitat is founded on the conviction that every man, woman and child should have a simple, decent, affordable place to live in dignity and safety. Donate to HHI's Japan relief.

3. UNICEF-USA

Overall Rating: Four Stars

The United States Fund for UNICEF was founded in 1947 to support the work of the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF) by raising funds for its programs and increasing awareness of the challenges facing the world's children. The oldest of 37 national committees for UNICEF worldwide, we are part of a global effort to save, protect and improve children's lives. Every moment of every day, UNICEF is on the ground providing lifesaving help for children in need. We provide families with clean water and sanitation, we vaccinate against childhood illness, and we help protect children against malaria. We provide nourishment to fight malnutrition, and we care for children affected by AIDS. We protect children from abuse, and we give them an education. We are here to make sure that all children lead a healthy, humane, and dignified life. Donate to UNICEF's Japan relief.

4. WorldVision

Overall Rating: Four Stars

World Vision is a Christian humanitarian organization dedicated to working with children, families and their communities worldwide to reach their full potential by tackling the causes of poverty and injustice. Motivated by our faith in Jesus Christ, World Vision serves alongside the poor and oppressed as a demonstration of God's unconditional love for all people. World Vision serves all people, regardless of religion, race, ethnicity, or gender. Donate to WorldVision's Japan relief.

The Iron Eagle Realty Team's mission is to assist you, our client, in the sale and acquisition of real estate properties in the state of Idaho, specifically the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market. Whether you are buying or selling a home, whether it is a foreclosure, short sale or equity property, we handle our customers and clients with empathy and honest truths so they can make informed decisions as they advance in the process of buying and selling real estate that meet specific needs.
Regards,IERT logo
Michael Hon
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Silvercreek Realty Group

Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

My Profiles: Find us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter View our profile on LinkedIn Visit our blog View our videos on YouTube
 

Wednesday, February 09, 2011

MID Facts: Who's Hurt Most by Curbs?

Here's a link to an interesting video from NAR's website regarding the Mortgage Interest Deduction issue.

President Obama Silent on MID 

President Obama's January 25 State of the Union address made no mention of the mortgage interest deduction (MID). The President did express interest in pursuing reforms that would improve the competitive position of Corporate America. Those reforms would not affect the MID. While the President did reference the Deficit Commission report, he did not specifically embrace any of its recommendations. (That report recommended reducing the $1 million cap to $500,000, eliminating the MID for second homes and converting the deduction to a 12% tax credit.) Moreover, the President did not express an intent to lead a battle for individual tax reform, but rather appeared to leave the details of any individual reforms to Congress. The MID is part of the individual income tax. 

NAR's Homeownership Matters (HOM) campaign is poised to mount a campaign should formal proposals emerge that would reduce the value of the MID. 


Reposted from NAR Website


Regards,IERT logo
Michael Hon
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Market Pro

Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

My Profiles: Find us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter View our profile on LinkedIn Visit our blog View our videos on YouTube
 

Friday, January 14, 2011

Selling Your Home in the Boise Idaho Real Estate Market - Now's The Time



Activity is picking up in the real estate market in Boise Idaho and surrounding areas such as Eagle, Meridian, Nampa and Caldwell. Our marketplace is seasonal and most real estate buying activity takes place from late winter to late spring and early summer with activity peaking in the April/May time frame. For example, here's the statistics for homes sold in Ada County for 2010. You will notice that the activity peaks in April, May and June.


If you are looking to sell your home in today's market, you must be competitively priced and start the marketing no later than mid to late February. You want to sell into strength as the activity climbs rather than sell into weakness when the majority of buyers have already found homes and are in contract.

Yes, the equity seller will continue to compete with REO's and short sales. However, we are noticing that buyers are pulling out of short sale contracts and looking at REO's and equity sales. They are tired of waiting and not knowing whether or not they will close on the property. Therefore, for the equity seller, there may be a "non-distressed" premium in some cases.

Please call or email us if you have any questions about selling your home.


Regards,IERT logo
Michael Hon
CEO, The Iron Eagle Realty Team
Associate Broker, Market Pro

Certified Short Sale Specialist®
Investment Property Consultant
Direct: 208.919.0458 Office: 208.939.9033 Fax 208.514.1422
www.IronEagleRE.com Michael.Hon@IronEagleRE.com

Friday, August 20, 2010

Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

Here's a link and the text for an interesting article off Yahoo Real Estate provided by Bloomberg BusinessWeek

Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

By Venessa Wong, Bloomberg Businessweek
Aug 4, 2010
Buzz up!

Where will prices rebound most by state?

A housing market rebound seems tenuous following the expiration of the home buyer tax credit, and consumer confidence remains weak due to lackluster employment, but David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv, says the bottom is near. Home prices in the U.S. have declined 29.5 percent over the past four years, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. Stiff says prices should form a trough early next year, when median prices will be down an estimated 32.9 percent from the 2006 peak.


More from Bloomberg Businessweek

» Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

» America's Strongest Job Markets

» Most Improved U.S. Housing Markets 2010

By early 2014, they will have climbed about 7.2 percent from 2010 levels, according to the indexes. Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com base the housing forecast on factors that include income growth, demographic trends, unemployment rates, foreclosure rates, and construction costs. Of 384 places surveyed, the Bremerton-Silverdalearea in Washington State had the highest four-year growth forecast, with prices expected to increase 44.7 percent from 2010 to 2014. Other leading growth markets:Bend, Ore., where prices are expected to jump 33.6 percent by 2014, and Detroit, with a 33.1 percent forecast. Markets with the weakest projections: Miami andNaples in Florida and Atlantic City, N.J., where prices are expected to continue to fall over the next four years.

Top 10 Housing Markets That Will Be Strongest by 2014

Washington
Ferry heads toward Bremerton, Wash. (AP)

1. Washington

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Bremerton-Silverdale metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 44.7 percent
Current median price: $245,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $69,900
Population: 240,860


The Bremerton-Silverdale area, on Puget Sound's Kitsap Peninsula, has the highest growth forecast of all MSAs in the country, with prices expected to jump 44.7 percent by 2014, according to Fiserv. Cathy Doney, general manger for Reid Real Estate in Silverdale, says the waterfront community has benefited from government employment, which has helped sustain the job market, and attracted buyers looking to live close to Seattle at a lower cost. Washington’s second-strongest market isTacoma, with a growth rate expected to be 33.1 percent. Prices in the Seattle area are expected to grow 25.5 percent by 2014.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Bend, Oregon
Bend, Oregon (Getty Images)

2. Oregon

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Bend metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.6 percent
Current median price: $144,533*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q1
Median family income: $58,200
Population: 158,630


The area around Bend area, in central Oregon's high desert by the Cascade Mountains, has the second-highest four-year growth forecast, 33.6 percent, after Bremerton-Silverdale, Wash. Bend draws home buyers and visitors with its wealth of outdoor recreational opportunities, but its prices have dropped about 40 percent since hitting a peak in late 2006. Fiserv and Moody's Economy.com now expect a rapid recovery starting next year. Greg Broderick, a real estate broker in Bend, says prices have overcorrected and buyers are seeing good value in the market. Homes priced the low hundred-thousand-dollar range "are being snapped up at a furious pace," he says. Still, the area must deal with a higher-than-average unemployment rate, which the BLS says was 13.4 percent in June.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA

Detroit, Michigan
Detroit, Michigan (Getty Images)

3. Michigan

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Detroit-Livonia-Dearborn metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 33.1 percent
Current median price: $51,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $54,400
Population: 1,925,850


Since reaching a peak in 2006, home prices in the Detroit area have fallen 60.5 percent, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. As homes have become more affordable—the median home price in Detroit is lower than median family income—demand is expected to pick up. Prices are forecast to jump 33.1 percent over the next four years. George Moma, a broker with Century 21 Dupont Realtors, says the growing prevalence of short sales over foreclosures will help drive up the median price in the Detroit metro area. He adds that the area is attracting interest among international investors from the U.K., Dubai, Moscow, India, Ireland, and France.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Napa, California
Napa, California (Getty Images)

4. California

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Napa metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.7 percent
Current median price: $355,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q4
Median family income: $79,600
Population: 134,650


Prices in the Napa area have dropped an enormous 44.6 percent since peaking in early 2006, according to first-quarter 2010 data from Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com. Despite the drop, home prices are expected to rebound quickly. According to an article in the St. Helena Star, Napa County is vulnerable to economic and real estate market fluctuations, but the impact is mitigated by managed growth and the county’s natural and agricultural resources. The unemployment rate in the Napa area fell to 9.3 percent in June, from 11.1 percent in January, according to the BLS.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Washington
Carson City, Nevada
(Convention and Vistor's Bureau)

5. Nevada

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Carson City metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 31.6 percent
Current median price: $141,524*
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q2
Median family income: $63,100
Population: 55,180


By the second quarter of 2011, prices in theCarson City area are expected to have fallen 34.4 percent from peak levels, according to the Fiserv and Moody's Economy.com. Recovery will depend on job creation, as the unemployment rate was 13.4 percent in June, according to the BLS. While expectations for near-term economic growth have diminished recently and competition for jobs is extremely high, opportunities exist, even in a declining labor market, according to Nevada's Employment, Training, & Rehabilitation Dept.


Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Panama City, Florida
Panama City Beach, Florida (Getty Images)

6. Florida

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Panama City-Lynn Haven-Panama City Beach metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 26.9 percent
Current median price: $158,669*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $53,800
Population: 164,770


Home prices in the Panama City area fell about 27 percent after hitting a peak in 2006, according to the FHFA home price index. Jennifer Mackay, an agent at Keller Williams Success Realty in Panama City, says the market was stabilizing earlier this year, but the BP oil spill led some buyers to pull out and sent the rental market into a tailspin. Despite the area’s large number of foreclosures (1.93 percent in the first half, according to RealtyTrac), Mackay says the new Northwest Florida Beaches International Airport, which opened in May, should help stimulate local business. "I see our economy doing better than others over the course of the next year," she says. The area's unemployment rate reached 12.1 percent in January and dropped to 9.3 percent in June, according to BLS data.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA

Flagstaff, Arizona
Flagstaff, Arizona (Getty Images)

7. Arizona

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Flagstaff metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 26 percent
Current median price: $278,000
Prices to reach trough in: 2011 Q3
Median family income: $56,700
Population: 129,850


Although Arizona has been one of the states hit hardest by the housing downturn, sales activity in the Flagstaff area, home to Northern Arizona University and Flagstaff Medical Center, has picked up since the start of the year, due in part to the home buyer tax credit. Flagstaff-based broker Ann Heitland says prices still may drop in the near term, but the decrease will be limited by shrinking inventory, as there has been a lack of new construction in the area. She adds that because more than one-fifth of the Flagstaff market is second homes, demand from second-home buyers from Phoenix will also affect the recovery.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: Case-Shiller

Santa Fe, New Mexico
Santa Fe, New Mexico (Getty Images)

8. New Mexico

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Santa Fe metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 25.8 percent
Current median price: $197,601*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q3
Median family income: $64,300
Population: 147,530


Fiserv and Moody’s Economy.com expect prices in Santa Fe to drop a total of 13.4 percent from their height in 2007. Lois Sury, president of the Santa Fe Association of Realtors, states in a release that median prices fell during the second quarter, but homes are moving across all price ranges. Sales in the city and county of Santa Fe rose 40 percent during the second quarter, compared with the same period last year, according to the association.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Wyoming
Wyoming (Getty Images)

9. Wyoming

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Cheyenne metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 23.7 percent
Current median price: $106,602*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $62,600
Population: 88,850


The Cheyenne metro area, which includes Laramie County, has been a fairly stable market, with home prices estimated to drop only 2.6 percent from peak to trough. Home prices increased in June, and the average time on the market decreased, according to the Cheyenne Board of Realtors. The metro area had a 7 percent unemployment rate in June, according to the BLS.

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010

Alaska
Anchorage, Alaska (Getty Images)

10. Alaska

Biggest home price increase projected in 2014: Anchorage metro


Forecast 4-year price increase: 20 percent
Current median price: $177,699*
Prices to reach trough in: 2010 Q1
Median family income: $77,700
Population: 374,550


The housing market in Anchorage has been stable: The estimated peak-to-trough price drop was only 2.1 percent, according to the Fiserv Case-Shiller Indexes. Home sales, aided by the first-time home buyers' tax credit earlier this year, as well as the fact that the area is home to many people who work in the resilient energy sector, are projected to stay strong as buyers take advantage of lower prices and low mortgage rates. According to Housingpredictor.com, "the state is seeing few foreclosures and is already showing signs of recovering."

Index used to calculate historical home price changes: FHFA
* Source: John Burns Real Estate Consulting, April 2010





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